| Joined: | Wed Apr 11th, 2012 |
| Location: | Melbourne, Australia |
| Posts: | 525 |
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I think it is more or less accepted that weather runs in cycles. Some longer than others and maybe even cycles within cycles. At only 79 years of age I probably haven't seen enough cycles to be a prognosticator of them. I know I have lived in southern Arizona for over 30 years and few years have been the same in relation to weather. One Christmas you can go swimming and the next Christmas it snows.I had a tomato plant that lived in the garden for 2 years and produced tomatos and one Christmas I planted a Poinsettia recieved for Christmas near the front door and it grew to 15ft tall. What does all this show,probably nothing but it does show that weather is in constant change. Some years bird migrations are huge some years there are almost none (and I pay attention being an avid birder). It does make an interesting discussion though I doubt there will be much concensus.
I guess it depends on your definition of consensus. For example in excess of 99% of meteorologists qualified to PHD level world wide believe that man made pollution is having a definite and measurable affect on climate change. (Source National Geographic magazine)
In many circles 99% would be considered a consensus.