| Joined: | Thu Apr 19th, 2012 |
| Location: | United Kingdom |
| Posts: | 4424 |
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1. Gradual phasing out of the DSLR.
2. Mirrorless becomes the dominant technology.
3. Autofocus in mirrorless continues to improve and equals that seen in DSLRs in 2019.
4. APS-C becomes the new standard (rather than FX) as sensors improve in dynamic range and noise control.
5. 4/3 sensor becomes the old APS-C, so no longer FX or DX but APS-C and 4/3.
I suspect 1 and 2 will happen soon, but whether they tip the balance point this year remains to be seen. To achieve 3. there will need to be new models that are already in the launch pipeline. Are they? Not sure FX will lose its footing so soon, especially after the launch of the Z7/6. Besides there's something about FX. I much prefer the overall photography experience of the D850 to the D500. If your predicted down shift of sensors does occur then maybe FX becomes the new medium format quality?
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Eric